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Post: Finance as Fiction: How Belief Shapes Capital

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Finance as Fiction

By Boecyàn Bourgade

Finance has always relied on belief as much as calculation. This essay explores how markets operate as shared narratives that turn trust into coordination. As data accelerates and automation deepens, value increasingly depends on coherence rather than certainty. Viewing finance as a structured fiction reframes questions of credibility, leadership, and responsibility.

Every civilization builds its economy around a story of what counts as value.
Sometimes that story is written in gold, sometimes in land or grain. Ours is written in numbers. The medium has changed but the purpose has not. It is still about turning belief into coordination.

In philosophy, a fiction is not a lie. It is something imagined that becomes real once enough people agree to act as if it were true. Markets work in much the same way. They rely on shared expectations, repeated behaviour and trust that holds long enough to matter. Money itself is the clearest example. It has no natural authority, yet it organizes entire societies because we collectively accept it. It is, in that sense, an agreement that learned how to count.

This is why finance should not be seen as the enemy of imagination. It is imagination constrained, formalized and made operational. Its models do not remove belief; they depend on it. Every valuation quietly assumes that the future exists, that uncertainty can be framed and that promises will survive time. Spreadsheets appear neutral but they are never empty. They carry judgments, expectations and narratives about what deserves to endure.

This matters in practice. For companies and institutions, credibility has become as important as capital itself. Markets no longer reward numbers taken at face value. They react to coherence: whether an organization’s actions align with its claims, whether its measurements support its story. In a world where narratives move faster than fundamentals, sustaining a believable account of value has become a strategic necessity.

Finance works because its fiction works. The word credit comes from credere, to believe and that origin still explains more than most models do. Every loan, bond, or equity investment rest on a simple wager: that tomorrow will honour today’s promise. During the early months of the pandemic, capital continued to flow into digital platforms not because the data looked reassuring but because the story of digital resilience made sense quickly enough to act upon.

Precisely because this fiction is so effective, institutions tend to forget that it is one. Market concepts begin to feel natural, even inevitable. Interest rates, growth curves and risk premiums acquire the tone of physical laws. Yet they are not laws of nature. They are conventions, adopted over time because they helped people coordinate action at scale.

Markets resemble language more than machinery. They do not merely reflect reality; they provide a shared framework for deciding how to act within it. Every financial system carries its own vocabulary, assumptions and moral logic. Even the “invisible hand” functions less as an empirical force than as a narrative device, a way of making decentralized trust intelligible.

Problems arise when these stories harden. When organizations cling to yesterday’s narratives instead of revising them, value starts to leak. Systems that forget they are stories stop adapting. They begin enforcing coherence rather than seeking truth.

Numbers give markets their sense of realism, but realism itself is interpretive. Prices feel objective, yet they compress judgment, emotion and expectation into a single figure. A price is not just a number; it is a statement, brief and charged, carrying fear, ambition and belief about the future.

Market crises rarely occur because participants suddenly abandon reason. More often, they emerge when shared narratives collapse at the same time. Volatility is not merely noise. It is revision. Each sharp movement reflects an attempt to restore plausibility. When markets move violently, they are not breaking down; they are rewriting their story in real time.

For leaders, the implication is concrete. Data alone does not generate confidence. Coherence does. When a company’s behaviour, disclosures and purpose align, markets tend to stabilize. When they drift apart, volatility becomes a form of feedback rather than an accident. Leadership increasingly resembles an editorial task: maintaining a story of value that can withstand scrutiny.

We now operate in an economy where narrative itself functions as capital. Markets respond not only to production but to meaning. Valuations reflect beliefs about identity, direction and legitimacy. IPOs sound like origin stories. Earnings calls resemble sequels. Tokens promise belonging and scarcity. Investors do more than allocate resources; they choose which futures feel plausible.

Attention has become a currency of its own and like trust, it must be renewed constantly. Algorithms, analysts and media voices now co-author the same global narrative of value. Markets have become less a mechanism of efficiency than a medium of expression, translating cultural signals into capital flows.

This evolution raises ethical questions finance can no longer treat as peripheral. If markets depend on belief, responsibility lies not in eliminating fiction but in governing it. Every economy leaves a moral trace. Its balance sheets show what it considers worth measuring and what it prefers to overlook.

Ethics in finance is not about suppressing imagination. It is about shaping it carefully. Regulation and governance exist to prevent belief from becoming blind. A just economy is not one without illusion but one whose illusions widen human possibility instead of narrowing it.

Fiduciary duty, seen this way, goes beyond technical compliance. It involves stewardship over time: preserving the credibility of the stories that markets rely on. Transparency, fairness and accountability are not optional virtues. They are conditions for narrative stability.

Finance has never been about numbers alone. It has always been a system for organizing trust through contracts and calculation. As artificial intelligence increasingly participates in financial decision-making, a familiar question returns in a new form: can systems generate narratives without believing in them?

Belief is not a technical function. It is a human one. A fully autonomous financial system may be efficient, even precise, yet still hollow. Civilizations endure not because their systems are intelligent but because their stories remain liveable.

The future of finance will not be shaped by technology or regulation alone. It will depend on imagination guided by responsibility. Money has always been a story about belief. What matters now is whether that belief can remain credible, adaptable and human.

About the Author

Boecyàn Bourgade Boecyàn Bourgade is a researcher and writer working at the intersection of finance, technology, and governance. Her work examines how trust, belief, and narrative structure modern markets, particularly as automation and AI reshape economic decision-making. She holds a Private Equity Certificate from The Wharton School and an FMVA® specialization in digital assets.

Lora Helmin

Lora Helmin

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